My prediction in Japan

40% of Japanese will not get married in their life.
Now, lifetime unmarried rate of man in Japan is 23.4%. And that of female is 14.1%. Before the half century, most Japanese had experienced marrying. So it is clear that the rate is getting higher. This change is bad for our society because it worsens aging population and lower birthrate, which cause various problems in my country. 


By 2080, the population in Japan will be less than half of what it is now.
One of the heavy problem in Japan is the low of birth rate. If this situation continues for a while, population decline will be so a serious issue. For example, social security system won't stop working. Moreover, some traditional products and events may be disappeared in local areas.
By 2040, unoccupied house rate will rise to 30%.
The main cause of increasing unoccupied houses is related to the number of elderly people. When they move to nursing home or the other house which their children live, unoccupied houses will be appeared. It will become difficult to maintain urban functions. And living environment will be getting worse.


That' why I think various problems in Japan in the future is affected by aging population and lower birthrate. 



Comments

  1. David WoodfieldApril 27, 2021 at 5:28 PM

    Wow, interesting predictions! Are steps being taken at present to encourage people to marry and have children? What steps would you like to see taken to try to reverse Japan's falling birth rate? David :-)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Maiko NoboriApril 28, 2021 at 11:45 PM

      Probably, The government don't make any plans to do it because they're suffered from thinking of high rate of elderly people. But I want them to prepare the environment that parents can grow their children in our society safely and cheaply.

      Delete
  2. Mahiro AkaiApril 28, 2021 at 12:49 AM

    Second prediction is really interesting. Some traditional products and events may be disappeared because of a lack of successors and people having the interest.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Maiko NoboriApril 28, 2021 at 11:47 PM

      Yes, that's true. I think Japanese need to learn and take care of the traditional products and events more seriously.

      Delete
  3. Momoka ItayaApril 28, 2021 at 12:53 AM

    I also thought about the population would be much more less than now, but I never thought it is related to the number of unoccupied houses in urban cities. I also think women are not getting married, because they prioritize work than marriage.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Maiko NoboriApril 28, 2021 at 11:52 PM

      Your idea which is related to their marriage is so interesting. Recently, many people haven't get married because of the gender equality.

      Delete

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